Generation Watch

 
Generation Watch
News and Views of America's Living Generations

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Sunday, October 26, 2003

Oh those Millennials. Lots of links to articles about trends in youth culture brought on by the rising Millennial generation. Ross Fadner at MediaDailyNews reports on marketing to them, noting that there has been a drastic decline in TV viewership by young males. Georgia Pabst at The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and O. Ricardo Pimentel at The Arizona Republic both discuss the large group of second-generation Latinos among the Millennials. Allison McCook at Reuters and C.W. Nevius at SFGate.com both have something to say about their dating habits, which I won't even try to fathom.

There's also a survey published recently by Harvard University's Institute of Politics, worth checking out. You can find an announcement and the findings linked from the main page; they are in PDF format.


Posted by Steve Barrera at 3:10 PM



Wednesday, October 22, 2003

The red and the blue. Speaking of blogs and wars, I can't help but see a similarity between today's webloggers and the pamphleteers of the Revolutionary War era. Turns out I'm not the first to do so - this comparison has been made by Dan Bricklin on his web site, and by Emily Eakin, writing for the New York Times.

I'd just like to add the thought that if the color schemes must match between the 1770s and the 2000s, then today's red zone bloggers are the Loyalists supporting King George, and today's blue zone bloggers are the Rebels, aided by France!


Posted by Steve Barrera at 2:48 PM



Tuesday, October 14, 2003

The dark side. There are some disturbing signs of the Crisis era visible. Anti-war and anti-Bush protestors have, with some justification, claimed that their voices are being censored. In the perpetually furious blog wars and flamefests on the Internet, one often encounters folks on the right accusing those on the left of treason. This has ugly implications, should there be a Bush landslide in '04.

Posted by Steve Barrera at 11:06 AM



Monday, October 13, 2003

The shape of things to come. According to the generations and turnings theory, the Unraveling era of the saecular cycle is a period of declining social order, in which people pursue individual needs with little concern for long-term consequences. Trust in institutions is low, and their failures just reinforce the public's desire to do without them. This is an era for postponing the inevitable, in which the bombing of an office tower results in no significant reaction.

Eventually the generations age, and reach a point at which they are more receptive to a shift in social mood. An event occurs which is a catalyst for this tranformation, and the Crisis era begins. So, the obvious question is - was the attack on and destruction of the World Trade Center towers on 9/11/2001 just this catalyst event?

We can hardly answer this question for certain while in the midst of living the aftermath. At best we can make note of what has changed and what hasn't since that fateful day.

We might be in a Crisis era, because...
There has been an increase in patriotic sentiment.

There is a new masculinism - an appreciation for the value of male strength harnessed to serve social good - visible in greater respect for soldiers and rescue workers.

Militarism is the hallmark of the Bush foreign policy - and while many Democrats have voiced opposition, it is not likely that they will be pacifistic, should they depose the Republicans.

We have a new federal agency, the Department of Homeland Security. It doesn't seem to be doing much except issuing warnings, which tells us nothing about what it will do in the future.
We might be in an Unraveling era, because...
Celebrities are prominent in the public eye; their crimes and personal problems often hog the headlines.

Political leaders show no sign of addressing some issues important to the people, such as unemployment, immigration reform, and health care for people under 60.


Posted by Steve Barrera at 6:44 PM


Executive Boomers. So far, the Boomer generation has given us two presidents, both of whom have attracted considerable derision from the opposing camp in the culture wars. The first was impeached by the other side, and the second is resented by the other side for having been elected without a popular majority. Together, they create the impression that their generation is not quite ready for national leadership. Don Erler, writing for the Star Telegram, contrasts their presidencies.

In the article, Erler makes the point that Clinton's presidency was friendly to conservatives, with taxes cut and welfare reformed, while Bush has increased federal government responsibilities and imposed a tariff, which should be anathemas to Republicans. It is possible, however, that this difference has less to do with party politics and more to do with a social cycle driven by generational change.


Posted by Steve Barrera at 5:17 PM



Wednesday, October 08, 2003

Recall election data. The Washington Post gives us a table of California recall election exit poll data to study. If you look at the row "Age (Age-65)" you'll see a good breakdown of the vote by age bracket. Some interesting points:

    Bustamante actually outdid Schwarzenegger in the 25-29 age bracket, and Schwarzenegger's strongest support is in the 40-49 age bracket. So it wasn't so much Gen-X who voted in the new governor as a combination of younger Boomers and older Xers. This group has been called Generation Jones, and are the same folks who were young theatergoers when Terminator was a hit.
    McClintock got the strongest support from the same age brackets as Schwarzenegger.
    The Green candidate, Camejo, did much better with 18-29 year olds than with any other group.


Posted by Steve Barrera at 10:43 PM



Sunday, October 05, 2003

Generations and the California recall election. Sarcasm aside, the recall election is to a considerable degree a generational revolt. Gray Davis has the support mostly of his generation, the Silent, while Arnold Schwarzenegger owes his success to the disaffection of Generation X. The Mercury News describes a poll which indicates as much.

It's among Californians like Sanders who are age 39 and younger that Davis is doing particularly poorly, with nearly two-thirds of voters in that age range wanting to recall him, according to the poll. He has a majority of support only among voters 65 and older.


Posted by Steve Barrera at 8:38 PM



Saturday, October 04, 2003

No, I don't write for the Onion. But I just couldn't resist authoring this satirical treatment of the CA recall election. Note the generational message.


Hitler-loving, serial-groping, Hollywood celebrity charms the California GOP

Chafing under the oppressive horror of nearly five years of Democrat rule, California Republicans are ready to take back their state. And they've found just the man to lead them on their mission - none other than Hollywood hunk Arnold Schwarzenegger!

With his massive pects, perfect hair, and dreamy foreign accent, the man known as the Governator casts a powerful magic spell that many GOPers just can't resist. Desperate as they are to rid their land of the twin scourges of car taxes and social services, they have found a savior in the form of a muscle-bound movie-star - and one who knows a thing or two about keeping people in line, having grown up in the old country.

"Surely this is just the man to pump up our state and transform us from the illegal alien harboring, capital gains taxing wimp that we are, into a healthcare deficient, federal money borrowing dynamo," says Tom Barstow, 27. "That's why he's got my vote!"

"Oh yeah," opines Jeremy Schumacher, 32. "He's definitely way better than that gray-haired doofus, what's his name? I mean, at least he's heard of Grecian formula. And he gets babes! Did you hear about all those chicks he had when he was a bigshot bodybuilder and movie hero? Now there's a man of action!"

Many other Californians who have heard of the Republican party agree. "We're just so fed up with the status quo," says Alicia Perez, 36. "We need to feel the winds of change blowing across our desolate land, and here we finally have a candidate who really knows how to blow - and more, I'm sure," she blushes.

At least six other women have similar feelings, according to recent reports. Apparently, this California dreamer is quite the creamer, and knows just how to please the ladies. Rumors indicate former President William Jefferson Clinton has purchased an advance copy of the DVD release of Mr. Schwarzenegger's first movie, hoping for tips. Careful, Bill, or you might start a scandal!

But not all Californians are eager to embrace the new. "We already have a governor," notes Delila Simmons, 65. "One who's not an android from the future with a distinctly fascist accent. I'm not ready to trust a guy who's on the record as having admired Adolf Hitler. I'm pretty sure our country was against that when I was a kid."

"Like, you know, whatever," rebuts Britney Harlowe, 17. "Hitler-bashing is so twentieth century - it's time to move on. Everyone in my high school voted for Arnold in the mock election, so he's our governor as far as we're all concerned - well, except for those Mexican sluts who voted for the fat guy. But they'll all be deported soon, so who cares what they think?"

Who, indeed? The majority of Californians agree - it's time to clean house. No one could be better suited for the task than the original Hercules, diverting the river of voter disaffection to wash the stables of government clean of the horse dung of excessive spending. And with such good English!


Posted by Steve Barrera at 4:48 AM



BACKGROUND
Generational Cycle
The Turnings

Phases of Life
Living Generations
Archetypes

Culture Wars
Red Zone
Blue Zone


Current ages of the living generations
Lost 104+
G.I. 80-104
Silent 62-80
Boomer 44-62
Gen-X 23-44
Millennial ?-23
Homeland ?


Millennial Saeculum
High 1946-1964
Awakening 1964-1984
Unraveling 1984-?
Crisis ?-


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About This Weblog- Generation Watch features commentary by Steve Barrera on America's living generations and their current experience. It has a companion news portal at LifeCourse Associates.

Where noted, background information on generations theory is copyright 1996 Broadway Books. All other content on this web site is copyright 2002-2005 Generation Watch and Steve Barrera. All rights reserved.